How top golfers shape up at East Lake

July 2024 · 4 minute read
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A dramatic and highly unusual PGA Tour season will come to an end this week with the 2022 Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Ga.

The Tour Championship is unlike any other event on the calendar. Instead of a traditional tournament to help decide the FedEx Cup Champion, the PGA Tour changed the format of the event a few years ago to avoid having a winner of the tournament and then a separate winner of the FedEx Cup. We saw this happen in 2018 when Tiger Woods won the actual Tour Championship event, but Justin Rose hoisted the FedEx Cup.

With the new format, the player who wins the Tour Championship event also wins the FedEx Cup.

To guarantee that, the Tour introduced a 30-player field with staggered scoring. The player (in this case, Scottie Scheffler) who enters East Lake atop the FedEx Cup standings gets a two-stroke edge over the second-place player, all the way down to a 10-stroke edge over the guys toward the bottom.

Here’s a look at the field and where every player will start out this week at East Lake:

2022 PGA Tour Championship starting scores

GolferStarting Score
Scottie Scheffler10-under
Patrick Cantlay8-under
Will Zalatoris7-under
Xander Schauffele6-under
Sam Burns5-under
Cameron Smith, Rory McIlroy, Tony Finau, Sepp Straka, Sungjae Im4-under
Jon Rahm, Scott Stallings, Justin Thomas, Cameron Young, Matt Fitzpatrick3-under
Max Homa, Hideki Matsuyama, Jordan Spieth, Joaquin Niemann, Viktor Hovland2-under
Collin Morikawa, Billy Horschel, Tom Hoge, Corey Conners, Brian Harman1-under
K.H. Lee, J.T. Poston, Sahith Theegala, Adam Scott, Aaron WiseEven par

As you can probably surmise, this unique format makes for an interesting week of betting. Most sportsbooks will post two sets of outright odds, one that incorporates the “staggered scoring” and another market that treats the Tour Championship as a normal golf event.

World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler unsurprisingly will go off as the +250 betting favorite to win the event. Scheffler will start the event with a two-stroke lead over Patrick Cantlay, who is next on the board at +400. Xander Schauffele is next up at +700, despite the fact that he is kicking off at 6-under, one stroke behind Will Zalatoris, who dropped to +1200 because he withdrew from last week’s BMW Championship with an injury.

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You can probably expect Rory McIlroy to get plenty of support at +1200 even though the Northern Irishman will start the event six strokes behind Scheffler. McIlroy has consistently gone off as the betting favorite when he’s played this summer, so there’s likely going to be plenty of punters who view the 12/1 on McIlroy in a 30-man field as a bit of a discount.

2022 Tour Championship Odds (With Staggered Scoring)

Odds via BetMGM.

GolferOdds
Scottie Scheffler+250
Patrick Cantlay+400
Xander Schauffele+700
Will Zalatoris+1200
Rory McIlroy+1400
Jon Rahm+1600
Tony Finau+1800
Sam Burns+2200
Cameron Smith+2500
Justin Thomas+2800
Sungjae Im+3000
Matt Fitzpatrick+4000
Cameron Young+4000
Jordan Spieth+5000
Collin Morikawa+6600
Joaquin Niemann+6600
Viktor Hovland+6600
Hideki Matsuyama+10000
Scott Stallings+10000
Sepp Straka+10000
Corey Conners+12500
Max Homa+12500
Billy Horschel+15000
Adam Scott+20000
Aaron Wise+25000
Brian Harman+25000
Sahith Theegala+30000
J.T. Poston+40000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee+40000
Tom Hoge+40000

If you’re looking to bet the Tour Championship as a normal event (as in the golfer with the best 72-hole score is deemed ‘the winner’), there will be some sportsbooks that post odds and others that don’t.

DraftKings has a market for both and currently has three players (Schauffele, Cantlay, and McIlroy) atop the board at +800, just ahead of Rahm at +900 and Scheffler at +1000.

If you are betting on this market, you may want to consider taking a shot on a few longshots. Typically, these tournaments feature more than 150 players and a cut, but this week you’re only asking your player to beat out a field of 29 (maybe 28 if Zalatoris withdraws) other golfers. And even though the field features a ton of star power, many of the usual big names (like Dustin Johnson and Bryson DeChambeau) are missing.

Players like K.H. Lee, Sepp Straka, Scott Stallings, and Sahith Theegala could all be worth consideration at long odds in this market:

2022 Tour Championship Odds (Without Staggered Scoring)

GolferOdds
Xander Schauffele+800
Patrick Cantlay+800
Rory McIlroy+800
Jon Rahm+900
Scottie Scheffler+1000
Justin Thomas+1400
Tony Finau+1600
Will Zalatoris+2000
Cameron Smith+2000
Matt Fitzpatrick+2000
Sungjae Im+2200
Sam Burns+2500
Jordan Spieth+2500
Adam Scott+2500
Collin Morikawa+2800
Max Homa+2800
Corey Conners+2800
Viktor Hovland+3500
Joaquin Niemann+3500
Cameron Young+3500
Billy Horschel+3500
Aaron Wise+4500
Hideki Matsuyama+6500
Brian Harman+6500
Sahith Theegala+8000
Scott Stallings+9000
J.T. Poston+9000
K.H. Lee+10000
Tom Hoge+20000
Sepp Straka+25000

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